OSCAR PREDICTION
Best Picture:
Brokeback Mountain -- WILL WIN -- overrated, but the awards favorite
Capote -- a great movie, but Hoffman will get all the attention
Crash -- my #2 pick for last year, would not be disappointed if this won
Good Night, and Good Luck -- well made and interesting, this one has the least chance of winning
Munich -- SHOULD WIN -- my pick for the best movie of last year, hands down